The Blog
GTO concepts, spot breakdowns, and training tips — written for players who study.
Jacks never fold preflop in a 100bb cash game, 3-bet more often than they call from the blinds, 4-bet a quarter of the time on the button, and follow one rule on the flop. Every spot decoded from the solver: first in, facing an open, facing a 3-bet, and fifteen flops.
The big blind check-raises a small c-bet 36% of the time on one flop and 7% on another, and nearly half its raises on dry boards have no pair and no draw. Ten flops decoded from the solver: how often to check-raise, with what, and how big.
Only 3-betting QQ+ and AK is 2.6% of hands. The solver never 3-bets less than 6% from any seat, premiums are a minority of its 3-bet range, and the opener folds only a fifth to a third of the time. All fifteen 6-max spots, decoded.
The button c-bets 99% of its range on one flop and 44% on another. We pulled the solver's flop strategy for ten textures in the same spot — with full range grids — and the sizing moves independently of the frequency. On 7-6-5 the button checks pocket aces 99.7% of the time and bets pocket fives large.
"Play any ace" gives you 14.9% of hands. The solver opens 17.2% from early position — almost the same number, almost entirely different hands. The exact starting ranges for every seat, and why the button plays twice as many hands as the first chair.
Doubling everyone's starting stack buys your home game about forty minutes. Adding five minutes to each level buys fifty-five, and you can do it again. The arithmetic behind a structure that stays playable — with a ready-made table and the chip counts to build it.
Seven players left at the Triton Jeju II $15K final table. Theologis check-raises with bottom pair and a backdoor flush draw, Punnat Punsri re-raises with jacks, and the fold that follows is worth exactly three percentage points of equity. Here is the arithmetic.
A same-day solver review of the hand that decided fourth place at the Triton Super High Roller Series Jeju II $15K final table: a button min-raise with ATs, a small-blind jam with A8s, and a call the solver never makes.
Every call compares two numbers: the equity you need, set by the bet size, and the equity you have, set by the cards. This is the reference for both — simulated, not copied from a forum.
Every preflop chart assumes opponents fold correctly. Your home game does not. Five adjustments for a table where five players see every flop — with the multiway equity numbers behind them.
Most win-rate advice is too vague to act on. These five are not: each is one specific change, with the actual solved frequency behind it, that you can apply in your next session.
Multiply outs by 4 on the flop and 2 on the turn. It is accurate to a point — and past nine outs, or with money still to go in, it overstates your equity in exactly the spots that cost the most.
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